NBA Win Totals have been released at DraftKings and FanDuel, the official sports gaming partners of the NBA. With all the offseason movement and trades of free agency, it’s a fascinating time to get in early on the market before the quiet time of summer sets in and markets start to move.
With that in mind, here’s a look at the Eastern Conference win totals and my initial thoughts, plus two best bets I’m making and my current early projections for next season.
Atlanta Hawks: 46.5
Atlanta added one of the big gets in free agency, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, and landed Luke Kennard for shooting. They drafted Asa Newell and with Jalen Johnson back, look like a team that could make a real push in the Eastern Conference.
Moore’s projected wins: 48.5, best bet OVER
Boston Celtics — 43.5 Wins
The great Boston teardown happened this summer as the Celtics chose to trade Jrue Holiday and Kristaps Porzingis for cap space and second-round picks, along with Georges Niang. They also added Anfernee Simons but reports suggest they may look to move him again. Still, the Celtics have Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, and the remaining bench core that won the title in 2024.
Moore’s projected wins: 42.5, no bet
Brooklyn Nets — 21.5 Wins
Brooklyn continues to build towards the future, trading Cam Johnson for Michael Porter Jr. and drafting four rookies, including Egor Demin. They’ll be patient as they develop their talent going forward with eyes on bigger free agency classes next summer and beyond.
Moore’s projected wins: 22.9, no bet
Charlotte Hornets — 24.5 Wins
The Hornets added more veterans this offseason to surround LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller by trading for Pat Connaughton and Mason Plumlee. With young talent expected to progress, Charlotte is looking to build the foundation of a winning team… but might not be quite there yet.
Moore’s projected wins: 21.8, bet under
Chicago Bulls — 32.5 Wins
Chicago had a quiet offseason. They are still working to re-sign Josh Giddey, drafted Noa Essengue, and are counting on internal development from players like Matas Buzelis to carry them forward. They traded veteran Lonzo Ball to the Cavaliers for stout defensive wing Isaac Okoro.
Moore’s projected wins: 34.8, no bet
Cleveland Cavaliers — 55.5 Wins
Cleveland’s dream regular season came crashing down in the playoffs, but they still have the second-highest win total in the league for a reason. They moved Isaac Okoro for the more versatile Lonzo Ball and should get their full team back healthy after Darius Garland recovers from toe surgery. Questions remain if the Cavs will make more moves this summer, but for now, they are market projected right where they should be, at the top of the East, but maybe still low on their win total.
Moore’s projected wins: 60.0, Best Bet over
Detroit Pistons — 45.5 Wins
Pistons fans were hoping for fireworks this summer, but instead, the team made marginal moves, hoping to prosper from internal development. But their under-the-radar additions of Caris LeVert and Duncan Robinson are both winners and will make their offense more versatile while adding defensively.
Moore’s projected wins: 46.3, lean over
Indiana Pacers — 38.5 Wins
What a disappointing end to a Cinderella run for the Pacers, as Tyrese Haliburton suffered an Achilles tear in Game 7. Without him, the team pivoted its direction to re-stock for next season, losing Myles Turner in free agency. However, the market has overreacted, overlooking their chemistry and talent.
Moore’s projected wins: 38.5, bet over
Miami Heat — 37.5 Wins
Miami had a quiet offseason until they were able to land Norman Powell in a cap-saving move for the Clippers. Powell adds a dynamite shooter and scorer for a team still in need of offense, and the Heat’s traditionally elite defense should bounce back next year.
Moore’s projected wins: 45.5, Best Bet over
Milwaukee Bucks — 45.5 Wins
The Bucks had a dramatic offseason, waiving Damian Lillard to make room to sign Myles Turner while losing Brook Lopez in free agency. This number suggests they’ll be closer to average than they were last season. Milwaukee had a much better net rating than their record, and this is a buy-low spot in a conference with several teams holding gap seasons.
Moore’s projected wins: 52.0, bet over
New York Knicks — 52.5 Wins
The Knicks hope to be the Atlantic Division heir apparent after Boston’s tumble following their upset of the Celtics and Jayson Tatum’s Achilles injury. They added Guerschon Yabusele and Jordan Clarkson in free agency, and hired new coach Mike Brown. They’re better, but this might be too high a bar for a team with concerns on both ends of the floor.
Moore’s projected wins: 53.3, no bet
Orlando Magic — 51.5 Wins
Orlando knew the time had come for them to push their chips in after back-to-back first-round exits with a low-ranked offense, and their front office understood the assignment. They traded five first-round picks for Desmond Bane and added Tyus Jones as their starting or backup point guard. It’s a lot of extra firepower, but this team will still go as Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner go.
Moore’s projected wins: 50, lean under
Philadelphia 76ers — 43.5 Wins
The Sixers’ win total is always trapped between two extremes, the version with injuries (a lottery team below 35 wins) and a healthy one (a true contender with more than 50). They split the difference and put them here, but it’s not an accurate representation. With No.3 pick VJ Edgecombe lighting up Summer League and Jared McCain back, the Sixers definitely have two timelines. But can they work together or consistently?
Moore’s projected wins: Impossible due to injury questions, no bet.
Toronto Raptors — 35.5 Wins
Toronto’s biggest change this summer didn’t come on the court as longtime head of basketball operations Masai Ujiri parted ways with the team. Bobby Webster has been running operations for years so continuity is not expected to be disrupted. They finally get Brandon Ingram on the court and added Sandro Mamukelashvili. Is this the year that Scottie Barnes ascends to where his flashes have shown he’s capable of reaching? Or will there be too much talent and not enough ball to go around?
Moore’s projected wins: 31.4, lean under
Washington Wizards — 20.5 Wins
No one sees the Wizards coming. From February 1st on, something interesting happened. The Wizards were 20th in defensive rating. When veteran Khris Middleton played, they were 6-8. There’s real talent on this team in the young players who didn’t get a real chance to show it. Washington is being patient and may trade Middleton, CJ McCollum, and Marcus Smart by the time camp starts. But until they do, with Alex Sarr’s improvements over last year, Bub Carrington in his second year, and rookie Tre Johnson, the Wizards may not be .500, but they’ll be much closer to it this season.
Moore’s projected wins: 30.1, Best Bet over